So now that we are only two weeks from the start of the Olympic Games, I thought I would update what and who of the Event Finals. After all, we know who is competing minus two spots on the Russian Team which will be announced shortly. Remember guys, this is just my opinion!
So here is my post from my previous predictions and I will also look at how my viewpoint now varies.
The Finalists- Cheng Fei, Hong Su Jong, and Alicia Sacramone will be finalists. Period. There is no way I see them unable to qualify. I also still think that Cheng and Hong can qualify even if they count a fall (assuming they both do the 6.5 A-score vaults).
Rounding out the other five spots I think will be Oksana Chusovitina and Jade Barbosa, both are very good vaulters, the same which I thought before. Who else is doing well on the vaulting scene? I am thinking at least one Russian will be in there, and I think Anna Pavlova is the front runner on that side. They may even nab another spot, a couple girls featured on gymnast.com have some exceptional DTY’s.
Differences from previous post- Elena Zamolodchikova isn’t going, so she won’t qualify. Pretty much is the same. Also, I think an Italian may possibly sneak in there, I have been hearing Amanar rumors about (I think) Carlotta Giovanni.
Guesstimate on the Medalists- Cheng, Hong, Sacramone. (No specific order)
The Finalists- Without a doubt I think Nastia Liukin, He Kexin, and Yang Yilin will qualify. I also think that Beth Tweddle, Ksenia Semenova, and (probably) Steliana Nistor will find themselves in there.
That leaves two spots left. I think Marie Sophie Hindermann and Chellsie Memmel will do it. The British have been getting a lot better on bars so maybe they will change this. Who knows.
Differences from previous post- Seems I replaced Memmel for the thought of Daria Zygoba.
Guesstimate on the medalists– He, Yilin, Liukin. (No specific order)
Finalists- Without a doubt I think Shawn Johnson and Li Shanshan will make finals. Rounding out the other six spots I think there will be one more American, two Russians, two Romanians, and probably another Chinese. Although I would normally put Nastia in there automatically, I am not so sure anymore. Memmel and Sacramone are capable of scoring higher due to higher A-scores, but we will have to see because I don’t think they can match the execution scores of Liukin. I also can’t speak about how scoring will ride in Beijing because it always seems to vary. The last World Championships seem to favor difficulty, but I have a feeling execution may be weighed a bit more. Two Russians in the spot are between Pavolva, Semenova, and also Lyudmilla Yezhova Grebenkova (if she is selected onto the team). Steliana Nistor and Sandra Izbasa have room to sneak in there. For the last Chinese member I would say Deng Linlin or maybe Cheng Fei. I think there is room for Australia’s Lauren Mitchell to come in there and bump someone out of this lineup.
Differences from previous post– Yulia Lozechko and Sui Lu are not on the teams, so aren’t qualifying. And orginally I didn’t factor in Pavlova. I also mentioned Stefani Bismpkou whom I now don’t think will qualify but would LOVE to see qualify. Mitchell wasn’t in my orginal post either.
Guesstimate on the medalists- Johnson, Li, 2nd American (No specific order)
Finalists- Shawn Johnson, Cheng Fei, and Sandra Izbasa WILL be in this floor final. I don’t have Sacramone in there because at this point I think it is questionable that she will even make it! It is quite possible (if all the upgrades do make that 6.5 or 6.4) for Memmel to bump her off the line here. Now, if Sacramone upgrades (I hear her score will be at least a 6.4) then with clean routines I think Sacramone will be the one with the higher execution scores. Regardless, one more American besides Johnson will advance to finals. So there is half the lineup. Others who have a shot at this final in my opinion are Daiane Dos Santos, Anna Pavlova, Dasha Joura, Beth Tweddle, Jiang Yuyuan, or even Yang Yilin. I can’t think of anyone else, I hear Cassy Vericel is still limping around. I don’t think Vanessa Ferrari will make it due to her foot making her A-score lower. Out of those mentioned above, I would like to see the last four spots got to Dos Santos, Pavlova, and Joura. I didn’t pick a last person. I am not sure. And I keep thinking I am missing someone key.
Differences from previous post– Not much. Sui Lu was mentioned as a possibility and that’s not happening.
Guesstimate on the Medalists- Cheng, Johnson, Izbasa. (No specific order. Note: How happy I would be if Dos Santos won.)
Without a doubt it is going to be a blast. I can’t decide which EF I am most excited about. Here is what I am generally looking forward to most in each event:
Vault- Cheng Fei. Hands down. I want Olympic Glory for her. Sacramone doing her absolute best, and of course the anticipation of her Amanar. Chusovitina competing her last moments in her final Olympics.
Uneven Bars- The race between the 7.7 A-score Club. Without a doubt. And because I am really thinking Memmel will be in the lineup, another lovely Memmel moment.
Beam- Shawn Johnson competing. Beam is also my favorite event usually. It’s the event with the most adrenaline for me to watch as it is the make or break event. I really want Shawn to win gold here.
Floor- Cheng and Johnson again make this for me. But the list of competitors that I have the potential to see makes it quite thrilling. Remember, I am one of those who loves the sentimental favorites.
I can’t believe it all starts in just two weeks. By the way, I have no idea what the text did to itself in this post.