Tag Archives: Event Finals

2009 Worlds: WOW! Thoughts on Qualifications

PRELIMS VIDEOS ARE HERE AND HERE PLUS HERE

First off, here are the standings after Qualifications:

AA

1. Bross (USA) 57.400
2. Porgras (ROU) 57.300
3. Mitchell (AUS) 56.675
4. Deng (CHN) 56.350
5. Sloan (USA) 56.075
6. Kurbatova (RUS) 55.950
7. Tsurumi (JPN) 55.925
8. Yang (CHN) 55.500
9. Kaeslin (SUI) 55.450
10. Semenova (RUS) 54.900

VT

1. Williams (USA) 14.812
2. Hong Un Jong (PRK) 14.787
3. Myzdrikova (RUS) 14.450
4. Kaeslin (SUI) 14.325
5. Kurbatova (RUS) 14.225
6. Dufournet (FRA) 14.212
7. Rogers (CAN) 13.975
8. Garcia (MEX) 13.862

UB

1. He Kexin (CHN) 15.975
2. Rebecca Bross (USA) 15.050
3. Cha Hyong Wa (PRK) 15.025
4. Tsurumi (JPN) 14.775
5. Miller (AUS) 14.650
6. Sloan (USA) 14.600
7. Porgras (ROU) 14.575
8. Licchetta (ITA) 14.200

BB

1. Porgras (ROU) 14.850
2. Kim Un Hyang (PRK) 14.775
3. Deng Linlin 14.450
4. Hong (USA) 14.400
5. Mitchell (AUS) 14.400
6. Tsurumi (JPN) 14.375
7. Yang Yilin (CHN) 14.375
8. Preziosa (ITA) 14.275

FX

1. Myzdrikova (RUS) 14.500
2. Sui Lu (CHN) 14.275
3. Porgras (ROU) 14.175
4. Tweddle (GBR) 14.075
5. Mitchell (AUS) 14.050
6. Gil Ortitz (COL) 14.050
7. Deng Linlin (CHN) 14.00
8. Bross (USA) 13.950

WOW!  So many unexpected happenings!  I can barely organize a single thought, so I will go through each individual gymnast….

Rebecca Bross–  1st after qualifications WITH A FALL!  Considering that 2nd place Romanian Ana Porgras did not fall….this is definitely Bross’s title to lose Friday.  No major mistakes should give her the win.  An unfortunate over rotation on her Patterson beam dismount made Bross just miss beam finals (14.150).  Too bad because the translation of that score would be enough to get the gold.  I thought Bross could make UB finals (which she did, qualified 2nd) but I thought there would be no way she would medal.  I was wrong.  Bross also qualified 8th into FX finals (13.950).   Should someone scratch from the beam final, Bross is the 1st reserve.  I am excited, because gymnastically, Bross is my favorite right now.  I love her style, the way she hooks her hand as she goes into round off.  I am conflicted though, because I believe that if Bross is the 2012 champ, WOGA will rule the world in gymnastics, and I would absolutely loathe that.

Bridget Sloan– Had a bit of an off day, qualifying 5th into finals.  I feel like Bridget is a 2nd day gymnast…should do better Friday.  She did not made FX finals (rough landings) which I expected, and made bar finals, which I actually did not expect.  I love her bars though, that piked toe on Tkatchev is awesome!  She also fell on beam.  But this is kind of like Nationals….hopefully Sloan will pull it all out for Friday….

 

Ana Porgras–  Hats off to the Romanian of the future!  She qualified 2nd into the AA, 1st on beam, 3rd on floor, and 7th on bars!  I completely expected her to be top 3 on beam, and MAYBE qualify for FX, but wow!  Porgras also shows a form and style not typically seen from the Romanians.  I now predict that Porgras is to be the new Romanian star of the quad….I will go as far as predicting that she will be back in London for 2012.  After watching some videos on youtube, I must say the potential for Porgras is immense.  Furthermore, this is her first major meet and looks how she comes out on the first day!  This will be a force to be reckoned with, mark my words.

Kayla Williams–  QUALIFIED 1ST INTO VAULT FINALS OVER THE OLYMPIC CHAMPION!!!!!  Enough said right there.  This girl will medal on Saturday.  Unfortunately, teammate Bross took over her FX spot for finals.

Anna Myzdrikova–  An amazing floor routine qualifies her first.  I predicted she would be on the medal stand.  She also qualified 3rd into VT finals!  Whoo-hoo!  Anyone following this blog knows that I am hoping upon hope that the Russians are about to emerge again as a gold medal force to be reckoned with this quad.

Ksenia Semenova–  The disappointment of the day for me.  She didn’t qualify to any event finals, and is 10th in the AA standings right now 😦

My heart goes out to Beth Tweddle.  A large mistake left her from UB EF.   She does have a really great floor set, and a stumble on her first pass tells us that she may well take the gold on this event…it is definitely possible.

My official predictions for Finals:

AA

Bross, Porgras, Sloan.  I am hesitant between bumping one of those names out and putting in Lauren Mitchell.

VT

Hong Un Jong will pull it out and score gold.  Williams will be second, and I think Ariella Kaeslin will end up 3rd over Anna Myzdrikova.

UB

He Kexin is a sure bet for first if she doesn’t fall, it is impossible to catch her if she hits.  I think Bross will be second, followed by Koko Tsurumi.  Who knows though.  Cha Hyong Wa will medal if she goes as clean as she did today. If something happens, and Bridget does not get an AA medal, for some reason i think she will throw the routine of her life and get a bronze.

BB

I think Ana Porgras will be first, Deng Linlin second, and either Ivana Hong or Lauren Mitchell for bronze.  We shall see.  Keep in mind that 2nd through 8th place are separated by 5 tenths of a point.  Deng got penalized for overtime, Hong and Mitchell did not perform their best routines (Mitchell had a bigger mistake I believe–so more potential to score big)

FX

I think Tweddle will rally and pull off the gold for a wonderful close to the competition/her career.  I hope she does.  I am hoping for Myzdrikova to place second.  I think Sui Lu or Ana Porgras will take bronze.

What I have learned this day:

China has the power to rule the world in gymnastics.  I am also hoping against hope that as the quad progresses (and juniors become seniors) that Russia will emerge as the greats they once were.  Scoring is bizzaro low to me, I can only hope that gets better with the quad.  And obviously the scoring tweaks have done nothing to eliminate those who can win with a fall, as Bross is in first with a fall.

As with the Nationals this year, it is such a different experience to watch without super favorites and root for so many people!  It is so much fun.

I cannot wait for Friday!

Nice Link to EF qualifiers here

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2008 Olympics: Heartbreaks! Event Finals, Night One

So I accidentally saw too many of the results online before I got to watch the broadcast.  I WILL NOT let that happen the next two nights!  I will be banning myself from going online tomorrow until after the broadcast.

My heart broke wide open with the results way too many times tonight…

Cheng Fei–  I cried.  I did.  To hold every major title in the last three years and blow it the night it counts!  Floor was even worse, and oh how I cried for Cheng.  She should have had 3 golds these Games, and walked away with the only individual medal of a bronze.

Alicia Sacramone–  I WISH SHE WOULD HAVE HAD THE AMANAR!  Another person who has medalled at every event she has entered on vault.  Sigh.  I wonder if she hadn’t been up first….would she have won the bronze?

Three cheers for Oksana Chusovitina!  The highest AA placement ever for her, and during her fifth Olympics.  But more importantly, AN INDIVIDUAL SILVER MEDAL FOR HER!  How glorious!  I am soooo happy for her!  One of the best things to happen.

Shawn Johnson…..when will you earn your gold?  It might not happen.  But I will tell you this, if the Olympics awarded medals in the categories of consistency, maturity, graciousness, and heart….well then Shawn would have gold medals in all of those!  I am rooting for her heavily during beam finals.  It won’t be easy with Nastia Liukin slated to compete right after her.  Her comments in the news are just amazing.  I also think had she and Izbasa switched places in the lineup, so would the medals!

But I have no qualms with Sandra Izbasa winning the gold.  I really like her.  I just wish she didn’t have two full-ins in her routine.  Her reaction was adorable.  Way to go Romania for winning a gold!

Oh, Anna Pavlova!!!!  What is it with Russia and taking a zero on vault?  Then there was her floor routine, which is one of my favorites this Games.  That routine is just gorgeous.  I can only hope her beam routine goes very well for her so that she won’t end the Olympics on a low point.

One of the best things tonight was the fact that NBC showed ALL EIGHT ROUTINES IN FLOOR FINALS!  Now THAT is awesome.

I feel bad for Sasha Artemev.  If he had hit, he would have medalled, no doubt.  A great composition, my favorite of all the pommel workers.

Diego Hypolito also made me cry.  I feel so bad for him.  He is young, so I really hopes he stays around another quad and blows everyone away in 2012.

Marian Dragulescu also made me sad.  I am rooting SO HARD for him in vault finals tomorrow.

I wish Jordan Jotchev hadn’t drawn so soon, I want him to get a gold medal darn it.

Congrats to Xiao Qin. I felt soooo bad for him in Athens.  He was one I really wanted with the gold.

That is all for now.

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Who Will Be…In Beijing. Event Finals Predictions

So with a few more competitions that have happened recently, a look into whom is virtually locked, should be, and who I want to be in event finals this August.

Vault-

1. Cheng Fei– Duh. She can fall and still qualify.

2. Hong Su Jong– Same deal. If she throws both those 6.5ers she’s in.

3. Alicia Sacramone

4. Oksana Chusovitina

5. Jade Barbosa– Don’t know how I forgot her! Again she throws enough difficulty (and cleanly enough) that I can’t envision her NOT being in finals.

All of the above I would say should be in finals because they have the highest vault difficulty. I cannot even begin to predict the other 50%. But I am hoping for Anna Pavlova, because I want her to be in everything she can be in. Also Elena Zamolodchikova as she is a sentimental favorite.

Bars

1. He Kexin

2. Nastia Liukin

3. Yang Yilin

4. Ksenia Semenova

5. Beth Tweddle

I think those five will be in finals, the first three again could fall and still qualify! Others that I think have a good chance of making it are maybe Steliana Nistor. Maybe Daria Zygoba. How cool would it be if Chellsie Memmel got in there!!!

Beam

These are just my predictions in no order:

1. Shawn Johnson

2. Nastia Liukin

3. Ksenia Semenova

4. Sui Lu (I really think she is going to be on that team)

5. Cheng Fei or another Chinese qualifier

6. Yulia Lozcheko

7. Steliana Nistor

8. Sandra Izbasa?

I really think that the top eight spots will be 2 USA, 2 China, 2 Romania, 2 Russian. Maybe one or two of those not happening and someone from another country getting in. I think it would be awesome if Stefani Bismpikou or Anna Pavlova were in there. NOTE: Someone pointed out in the comments that Pavlova is way awesome and that she is more than just vault finals. Yes, I completely agree. Her style is one of my favorites, and I actually like her on beam the best, I was just thinking in the last post that vault was just most likely for her to make.

Floor

1. Shawn Johnson

2. Alicia Sacramone

3. Cheng Fei

4. Sui Lu or Jiang Yuyuan

5. Sandra Izbasa!!!!

6. Dasha Joura

7. EDIT- Beth Tweddle. She’s in the 6.4 and higher club.

Who else I would really like to see is Daiane Dos Santos. I also would like Vanessa Ferrari to be in there. Yes, I am a Ferrari fan. I like her on floor. Yes, I put Joura in there. She just turned in a 6.3 A-score at Australian Nationals and got like 1 15,700! She should be in this final. She better be. I think the 6.5 and above crowd is who will be battling for gold.

Overall, I think Cheng Fei has the best chance to make 3 event finals. That would be so cool if she scored 4 gold medals. 4 medals of any color would be awesome.

This was rather quickly typed. I am so excited about Nationals. I can wait to reevaluate the O-Team predictions after Nationals are over.

By the way, NBC is broadcasting the senior women event Saturday, June 7th from 4pm to 6pm Eastern time. I am wondering, are they doing both days coverage that day? Usually we get 1 hour on one day, and another hour on another day. So I am wondering how they are doing this. Both days, or just a lot of coverage on Day 2 with some flashbacks of the first day. Hmmmm. I swear that the 04′ Nationals was like an hour and a half each day of competition. This is important dammit us gym fans need to see what is going on! So I guess I am hoping for extended coverage of Day 2. Sigh, anyone remember 2005 Nationals? Yes, they only showed the same 4 girls both days.

Whatever, I am excited.

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Comparing China and USA after Nationals and Training Camp Conclude…

First off, still awaiting some hardcore results from the Friendly International Meet going on at the Ranch.  Supposedly (and I am not sure if this is just Prelims or Finals)  the AA results were:

1) Ivana Hong
2) Ashley Priess
3) Chellsie Memmel
4) Mattie Larson

Notes:  Priess supposedly has a 7.0+ bars score, which as I have said before, she performs that with no errors through Nationals and Trials she will have a ticket to Beijing.  Memmel scored well on floor from what I understand, and no idea what Hong is up to.  Alicia Sacramone supposedly did real well and scored more than a 16 on beam, which I think just further secures her spot.    Shayla Worley is having back issues and left the training camp early, so perhaps her spot is in question.  And again, whoever gets second in bars for the two main deciding competitions, is going to Beijing, USA cannot afford otherwise.

Meanwhile in China, scores are soaring to new levels.  16 is the new 15 over there.  A little inflated of course, but none the less amazing.  Here are the results of China’s Event Finals, courtesy of International Gymnast:

Women’s Vault
1. Cheng Fei 15.812 (Double-twisting Yurchenko, 15.50/Cheng 16.125)
2. Deng Shaojie 15.45
3. Deng Linlin 14.90

Uneven Bars
1. He Kexin 17.325 (7.7 A)
2. Yang Yilin 16.725 (7.7 A)
3. Pang Panpan 16.475
4. Jiang Yuyuan 16.40
5. He Ning 16.075

Balance Beam
1. Sui Lu 16.575 (7.0 A)
2. Guo Wei 16.500 (6.9 A)
3. Zhang Nan 16.300 (6.8 A)
4. Cheng Fei 16.175 (6.8 A)
5. Li Shanshan 16.125
6. Cui Jie 16.050
7. Hu Yuhong 15.500
8. Xiao Sha 15.30

Women’s Floor Exercise
1t. Sui Lu 16.200 (6.4 A)
1t. Cheng Fei 16.200 (6.5 A)
3. Yang Yilin 15.675 (6.2 A)
4. Cui Jie 15.500
5. He Ning 15.625
6t. Guo Wei 15.500
6t. Jiang Yuyuan 15.500
8. Xiao Sha 15.450

The breakdown:  The way I see it, China has one gap (if you can even call it that) on beam.

Cheng Fei, Jiang Yuyuan, Yang Yilin, and He Kexin are all going to Beijing.  And after Nationals I would include Sui Lu into the lineup for sure.  Winning beam is one thing, but to tie Cheng Fei on one of her signature events is a huge deal.   Vault, bars, and floor are covered.  (and if you notice above there is a typo in the floor scores, I am not sure what is actually right.)  For beam Sui Lu and Cheng Fei are good, but who should be in the 3rd spot?  And who for the last spot of the team?  Well, Guo Wei whoever you are, maybe you will be in.  What I would love is to bring Zhang Nan.  That would be excellent, she did get 3rd!  

Back to the US…

So again, Shawn Johnson, Nastia Liukin, and Alicia Sacramone make up 50% of the team.  And with how well Samantha Peszek did during camp, providing she continues this path throughout June meets, I think she has made her case.  She has the same A-score as Shawn on floor, which I am guessing is a 6.5.  I think Memmel, Worley, Priess, Hong, and Bridget Sloan, who supposedly has a 6.7 on bars now, are fighting for those last two spots.  Considering every other event for Team Finals is covered, 2nd and 3rd to Nastia on bars is who gets the last two golden tickets.

Now lets look at some difficulty score comparisons… (BTW check out some of the blogs I have links to, and I need to put some others in, because there are some wonderfully written and analyzing things out there)

China:

Vault- 6.5,6.5, 5.8.  = 18.8

Bars- 7.7,7.7, and 7.0 we will say, even though it may be a couple tenths higher.  = 22.4

Beam- 7.0,6.9,6.9 (I am just speculating) = 20.8

Floor- 6.5,6.4,6.4 = 19.3

Total 81.3

USA

vault- 6.5,6.3,5.8 = 18.6

bars- 7.7, 7.0,6.7 (thats being generous) = 21.4

beam- 7.0, 6.7,6.6 (though it may be a couple tenths higher) = 20.3

floor- 6.5,6.5,6.2 =19.2

Total 79.5

That’s a 1.8 difference.  Now, for some of you that may go crazy at that, I am just speculating and trying to be realistic.  I will recalculate again when Nationals comes up OR if I get some hardcore A-score facts.

But as of right now, if China hits in Team Finals they WILL have the gold.  The difference in uneven bars alone is going to be around one point.  But one thing is for sure, this will be good.  I can barely wait.  It has been a looooong four years.

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